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Abstract

It has recently been argued that Frankfurt-Style lottery cases are counterexamples to the modal account of luck, which claims that an event is lucky only if it is modally fragile. However, Frankfurt-Style lottery cases aren’t counterexamples to the modal or other accounts of luck. This is because lucky events are matters of chance and significant, but winning a Frankfurt-Style lottery is neither a matter of chance nor significant. While how one wins a Frankfurt-Style lottery (that is, with or without any interference from a Frankfurtian manipulator) is modally fragile, one isn’t lucky to win a lottery that one is guaranteed to win.

Bio

Jesse Hill is a Research Assistant Professor at Lingnan University and Fellow at the Hong Kong Catastrophic Risk Centre. Most of his work focuses on the nature of luck and on the role that the concept plays in debates in ethics, free will, and epistemology. He also has research interests in ethics and social & political philosophy. Here is a link to Jesse’s PhilPeople page: https://philpeople.org/profiles/jesse-hill